P.R. Chari By Brij Mohan Kaushik and O.N. Mehrotra Sopan Publishing House, New Delhi, 1980, pp. xii 228, price not stated. VOLUME V NUMBER 1 July/August 1980 A
central vision illumines this book: Pakistan intends to assemble a nuclear
arsenal, but does not have present capability to do so. Eventually it will.
India should, therefore, devise a policy to keep its competition with Pakistan
below the nuclear threshold.
The authors make three major points: First, Pakistan's
nuclear policy has been reactive to nuclear developments in India. Both Pakistan
and India, for instance, supported an end to nuclear testing in the United
Nations. But Pakistan did not ratify its acceptance of the Partial Test Ban
Treaty (PTBT), and its hesitancy was largely occasioned by the bomb debate
which started in India after China's first nuclear explosion in October 1964.
A clearer instance of Pakistan's reactive nuclear policy was during the U.N.
debate on the Non- Proliferation Treaty. Pakistan's argument then, which still
continues, was that it would join the Treaty if India did. Needless to emphasize,
in not signing the Treaty India was largely motivated by the perceived nuclear
threat from China. More recently, Pakistan's call for a nuclear-free zone in
South Asia was mooted after the Pokharan test, and was clearly directed to embarrass
India.
The authors' second conclusion is that Pakistan wants a
national bomb. Its Islamic content is at best marginal. This point is well
taken. Pakistan is unlikely to risk a possible nuclear counter-attack, western
sanctions, and general world opprobium by placing its nuclear armoury, when
produced, at the disposal of the Islamic bloc to serve general Islamic causes.
Pakistan has stressed the Islamic character of its bomb to derive
politico-military advantages. These are identified as achieving a leadership
position in the Islamic bloc, obtaining financial resources from oil-rich Arab
states, insulating its nuclear weapons programme by diffusing the criticism
of the anti-proliferationists through the entire Islamic bloc, and widening the
bomb's geo-political significance by imbuing it with an anti-Zionist flavour.
The last two reasons are quite perceptive.
The last contention made by the authors is that major
technological constraints inhibit Pakistan's nuclear explosion programme.
Pakistan is pursuing both the plutonium and uranium routes to the bomb. But
Pakistan's two atomic reactors—the 5MW research
reactor at Nelore, and 137 MW power reactor near Karachi—are both under safeguards. Pakistan does not
have any heavy water plant or fuel fabrication Plant at present: its efforts to
seek plutonium separation ... Table of Contents >> |